Match

Eibar II vs Portugalete: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar

Eibar IIPortugalete

The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Portugalete. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eibar II vs Portugalete?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Eibar II (1,888) and Portugalete (1,942).

Eibar II win37 %
Draw28 %
Portugalete win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Portugalete have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eibar II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Náxara(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Ejea(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Ebro(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Utebo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Portugalete
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Barakaldo(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 9, 2026Deportivo Alavés III(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026Aurrerá Vitoria(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 25, 2026Leioa(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 17, 2026Eibar III(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Portugalete score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eibar II1.51.439/158/15
Portugalete1.80.978/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Portugalete?
The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Portugalete.
Where and when is Eibar II vs Portugalete played?
Eibar II vs Portugalete is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Eibar II and Portugalete

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