Basconia vs Gimnástica Torrelavega: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Artunduaga, Basauri
The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gimnástica Torrelavega. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basconia vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Basconia (1,962) and Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,974).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basconia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Gimnástica Torrelavega have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Basconia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gimnástica Torrelavega win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 2-1 Basconia | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Torrelavega score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basconia vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
- The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gimnástica Torrelavega.
- Where and when is Basconia vs Gimnástica Torrelavega played?
- Basconia vs Gimnástica Torrelavega is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.