Where and when is Amorebieta vs Sestao River played?

Amorebieta vs Sestao River is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Amorebieta vs Sestao River: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano

Amorebieta

Sestao River

The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Amorebieta vs Sestao River?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,896) and Sestao River (1,892).

Amorebieta win42 %

Draw30 %

Sestao River win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Sestao River have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Amorebieta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Mutilvera(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sestao River(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Gernika(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Sestao River
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Athletic Club(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Utebo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Amorebieta(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Amorebieta win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sestao River win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Amorebieta 1-1 Sestao River	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Jan 4, 2026	Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Feb 22, 2025	Sestao River 1-0 Amorebieta	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 30, 2024	Amorebieta 2-0 Sestao River	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Jul 29, 2023	Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 20, 2022	Amorebieta 1-1 Sestao River	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Amorebieta vs Sestao River on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Amorebieta	1.2	0.8	8	6/15	5/15
Sestao River	1.0	1.2	3	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Sestao River?: The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Sestao River.
Where and when is Amorebieta vs Sestao River played?: Amorebieta vs Sestao River is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.