Amorebieta vs Sestao River: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano
The Footlab AI model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amorebieta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,897) and Sestao River (1,959).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amorebieta vs Sestao River
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amorebieta
Not enough data to predict the Amorebieta lineup.
Sestao River
Not enough data to predict the Sestao River lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sestao River have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 4-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Amorebieta wins, 2 draws, 1 Sestao River win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Amorebieta 1-1 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sestao River 1-0 Amorebieta | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Amorebieta 2-0 Sestao River | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Amorebieta 1-1 Sestao River | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Amorebieta vs Sestao River on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sestao River | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amorebieta sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Sestao River sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sestao River | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Amorebieta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Sestao River.
- Where and when is Amorebieta vs Sestao River played?
- Amorebieta vs Sestao River is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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