Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki played?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Wigry Suwałki

The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,751) and Wigry Suwałki (1,834).

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win31 %

Draw23 %

Wigry Suwałki win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Swit(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Troszyn(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

Wigry Suwałki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Swit(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Troszyn(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Jagiellonia II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2.3	1.8	0	6/6	6/6
Wigry Suwałki	1.6	0.7	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 7th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
7	Wigry Suwałki	4	2	2	0	5	2	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki?: The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki played?: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.