Where and when is Swit vs Łomża played?

Swit vs Łomża is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Swit vs Łomża: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

Swit

Łomża

The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Swit vs Łomża?

Łomża starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,689).

Swit win26 %

Draw23 %

Łomża win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Swit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Widzew II(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1

Łomża
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mławianka Mława(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)	2-5	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Weszlo(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swit win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Łomża win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 13, 2026	Swit 3-2 Łomża	III Liga - Group 1
Oct 25, 2025	Łomża 3-0 Swit	III Liga - Group 1
Mar 1, 2025	Swit 1-3 Łomża	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 10, 2024	Łomża 1-1 Swit	III Liga - Group 1
May 31, 2024	Swit 4-3 Łomża	III Liga - Group 1
Nov 11, 2023	Łomża 2-3 Swit	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Swit vs Łomża on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Swit	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15
Łomża	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Swit sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Swit	4	2	1	1	7	3	7
15	Łomża	5	0	2	3	5	10	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Swit vs Łomża?: The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Swit.
Where and when is Swit vs Łomża played?: Swit vs Łomża is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.