Match

Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Łódź, Łódź

Widzew IIWarta Sieradz

The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 38%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Widzew II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Widzew II (1,799) and Warta Sieradz (1,847).

Widzew II win38 %
Draw23 %
Warta Sieradz win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Widzew II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Swit(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Troszyn(home)5-1III Liga - Group 1
Warta Sieradz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Troszyn(away)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Widzew II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Warta Sieradz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 20, 2026Warta Sieradz 1-2 Widzew IIIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 31, 2025Widzew II 1-3 Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Widzew II on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Widzew II2.21.157/1510/15
Warta Sieradz1.91.159/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Widzew II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Widzew II531111310
12Warta Sieradz5212897

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz?
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 38%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Widzew II.
Where and when is Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz played?
Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Łódź, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Widzew II and Warta Sieradz

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