Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 38%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Widzew II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Widzew II (1,799) and Warta Sieradz (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Widzew II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Warta Sieradz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 1-2 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Widzew II 1-3 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Widzew II on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 38%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Widzew II.
- Where and when is Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Łódź, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Sep 26, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsPelikan Łowicz
- Sep 26, 2026SwitvsŁomża
- Sep 26, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsJagiellonia II
- Sep 26, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWeszlo
- Sep 26, 2026TroszynvsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 26, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsMławianka Mława
- Sep 26, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWigry Suwałki