Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Mławianka Mława played?

Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Mławianka Mława is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki

Ząbkovia Ząbki

Mławianka Mława

The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Mławianka Mława?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,700) and Mławianka Mława (1,714).

Ząbkovia Ząbki win39 %

Draw24 %

Mławianka Mława win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ząbkovia Ząbki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Widzew II(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 1

Mławianka Mława
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Łomża(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Weszlo(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mławianka Mława win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 22, 2025	Mławianka Mława 2-1 Ząbkovia Ząbki	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2025	Ząbkovia Ząbki 6-2 Mławianka Mława	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Mławianka Mława vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ząbkovia Ząbki	1.4	1.9	3	7/15	10/15
Mławianka Mława	1.8	1.3	5	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Ząbkovia Ząbki	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
14	Mławianka Mława	5	1	1	3	5	10	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Mławianka Mława?: The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Mławianka Mława.
Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Mławianka Mława played?: Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Mławianka Mława is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.