Mérida AD vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 35Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Romano, Mérida
The Footlab AI model makes Mérida AD the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mérida AD wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Cultural Leonesa?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Mérida AD (1,916) and Cultural Leonesa (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mérida AD vs Cultural Leonesa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mérida AD
4-3-3- 21Raúl Beneit
- 11S. El Ftouhi
- 24L. Koné
- 6Jota
- 8Martín Solar
- 7J. Areso
- 4Gonzalez Nacho
- 5Hugo Sanz
- 14Hugo
- 2Alejandro Agustín
- 1A. Csenterics
Cultural Leonesa
4-3-3- 22Dani Queipo
- 7A. P. Benito P.
- 19Antón Escobar
- 14Bicho
- 23Ángel Algobia
- 10Álex Cardero
- 3Jaime Vázquez
- 17Carlos Pomares
- 9Jorge Delgado
- 2Guzmán
- 13Miguel San Román
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mérida AD have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Cultural Leonesa have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 4-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-5 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mérida AD win, 0 draws, 2 Cultural Leonesa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa 1-0 Mérida AD | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Mérida AD 3-1 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Mérida AD | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Cultural Leonesa vs Mérida AD on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mérida AD score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida AD | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mérida AD sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 8 matches) and Cultural Leonesa sit 10th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mérida AD | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Cultural Leonesa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Mérida AD vs Cultural Leonesa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mérida AD vs Cultural Leonesa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mérida AD the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Mérida AD vs Cultural Leonesa played?
- Mérida AD vs Cultural Leonesa is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Romano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.