Merthyr Town vs Brackley Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
The Footlab AI model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Brackley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Merthyr Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs Brackley Town?
Merthyr Town starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,746).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merthyr Town vs Brackley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Brackley Town
Not enough data to predict the Brackley Town lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Brackley Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brackley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Brackley Town | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 15th in National League - North (15 points from 12 matches) and Brackley Town sit 18th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Merthyr Town | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
| 18 | Brackley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 15 |
A question about Merthyr Town vs Brackley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merthyr Town vs Brackley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Brackley Town.
- Where and when is Merthyr Town vs Brackley Town played?
- Merthyr Town vs Brackley Town is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Penydarren Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.