Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera / BSS: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)LNK Sporta Parks (mākslīgais), Riga
The Footlab model makes Valmiera / BSS the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Leevon / PPK. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera / BSS?
Valmiera / BSS starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,495).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leevon / PPK have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Valmiera / BSS have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Leevon / PPK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Valmiera / BSS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS 4-1 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Valmiera / BSS vs Leevon / PPK on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leevon / PPK score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Valmiera / BSS score 2.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevon / PPK | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Valmiera / BSS | 2.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leevon / PPK sit 2nd in 1. Liga (24 points from 10 matches) and Valmiera / BSS sit 3rd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 44 |
| 2 | Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Valmiera / BSS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera / BSS?
- The Footlab model makes Valmiera / BSS the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Leevon / PPK.
- Where and when is Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera / BSS played?
- Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera / BSS is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at LNK Sporta Parks (mākslīgais), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.