Midland vs Tristan Suarez: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, Libertad, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Midland the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Tristan Suarez. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Midland (1,841) and Tristan Suarez (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Midland have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tristan Suarez have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Temperley(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 2-2 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(away) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Midland win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tristan Suarez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Tristan Suarez 1-3 Midland | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Tristan Suarez vs Midland on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Midland score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tristan Suarez score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midland | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Tristan Suarez | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Midland sit 5th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 24 matches) and Tristan Suarez sit 1st (48 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Midland | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
- The Footlab model makes Midland the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Tristan Suarez.
- Where and when is Midland vs Tristan Suarez played?
- Midland vs Tristan Suarez is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026All BoysvsColon Santa Fe
- Sep 19, 2026Atletico MitrevsSan Telmo
- Sep 19, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsSan Martin Tucuman
- Sep 19, 2026QuilmesvsClub Atlético Güemes
- Sep 19, 2026AlmagrovsNueva Chicago
- Sep 19, 2026Los AndesvsDeportivo Moron
- Sep 19, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsFerro Carril Oeste
- Sep 19, 2026PatronatovsSan Martin S.J.