Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Miedz Legnica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Miedz Legnica (1,898) and Chrobry Głogów (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedz Legnica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Miedz Legnica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Chrobry Głogów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Miedz Legnica 0-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Miedz Legnica 2-3 Chrobry Głogów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Chrobry Głogów 2-2 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Chrobry Głogów 1-1 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Miedz Legnica 1-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Chrobry Głogów 0-1 Miedz Legnica | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów?
- The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Miedz Legnica.
- Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów played?
- Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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