Match

Millonarios vs America de Cali: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

MillonariosAmerica de Cali

The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for America de Cali. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Millonarios vs America de Cali?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Millonarios (1,815) and America de Cali (1,849).

Millonarios win48 %
Draw29 %
America de Cali win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millonarios have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; America de Cali have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Millonarios
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Deportivo Pasto(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Junior(away)1-0Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Bucaramanga(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 18, 2026Colo Colo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
America de Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Santa Fe(away)0-0Primera A
Aug 10, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 6, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Chico(home)7-0Primera A
Jul 30, 2026Real Cartagena(away)1-1Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Millonarios win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 America de Cali win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2026America de Cali 3-1 MillonariosPrimera A
Oct 8, 2025Millonarios 2-1 America de CaliPrimera A
Apr 17, 2025America de Cali 0-0 MillonariosPrimera A
Jan 19, 2025Millonarios 1-1 America de CaliFriendlies Clubs
Oct 12, 2024America de Cali 2-1 MillonariosPrimera A
Feb 8, 2024Millonarios 1-0 America de CaliPrimera A

Last archived meeting: America de Cali vs Millonarios on Apr 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Millonarios1.91.058/156/15
America de Cali1.30.885/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Millonarios sit 10th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and America de Cali sit 4th (33 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1America de Cali541011013
4America de Cali191036251533
6America de Cali211047262034
8Millonarios4211427
10Millonarios19757312326
10Millonarios19757312326

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Millonarios vs America de Cali?
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for America de Cali.
Where and when is Millonarios vs America de Cali played?
Millonarios vs America de Cali is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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