Millonarios vs America de Cali: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for America de Cali. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millonarios vs America de Cali?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Millonarios (1,815) and America de Cali (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millonarios have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; America de Cali have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chico(home) | 7-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Millonarios win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 America de Cali win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | America de Cali 3-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Millonarios 2-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Apr 17, 2025 | America de Cali 0-0 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Millonarios 1-1 America de Cali | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 12, 2024 | America de Cali 2-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Millonarios 1-0 America de Cali | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: America de Cali vs Millonarios on Apr 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| America de Cali | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millonarios sit 10th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and America de Cali sit 4th (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 34 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millonarios vs America de Cali?
- The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for America de Cali.
- Where and when is Millonarios vs America de Cali played?
- Millonarios vs America de Cali is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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