Where and when is Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas played?

Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

Mirandés II

Burgos Promesas

The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Mirandés II (1,757) and Burgos Promesas (1,818).

Mirandés II win41 %

Draw29 %

Burgos Promesas win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Villaralbo(home)	4-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Arandina(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Bembibre(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mirandés II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Burgos Promesas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Burgos Promesas 1-1 Mirandés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 12, 2025	Mirandés II 0-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 24, 2024	Burgos Promesas 2-1 Mirandés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 7, 2023	Mirandés II 0-0 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 16, 2021	Burgos Promesas 1-0 Mirandés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 11, 2020	Mirandés II 0-0 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Burgos Promesas vs Mirandés II on May 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mirandés II	1.3	1.5	2	10/15	8/15
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Mirandés II	34	13	8	13	43	35	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas?: The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Burgos Promesas.
Where and when is Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas played?: Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.