Salamanca II vs Colegios Diocesanos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca
The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salamanca II vs Colegios Diocesanos?
Salamanca II starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Colegios Diocesanos have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Unami(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ponferradina II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Salamanca II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Colegios Diocesanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | Colegios Diocesanos 1-0 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Salamanca II 1-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Salamanca II 2-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Colegios Diocesanos 1-0 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Colegios Diocesanos vs Salamanca II on Apr 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Colegios Diocesanos | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 54 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salamanca II vs Colegios Diocesanos?
- The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Colegios Diocesanos.
- Where and when is Salamanca II vs Colegios Diocesanos played?
- Salamanca II vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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