Where and when is Almazán vs Palencia CF played?

Almazán vs Palencia CF is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almazán vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán

Almazán

Palencia CF

The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almazán vs Palencia CF?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Almazán (1,762) and Palencia CF (1,804).

Almazán win43 %

Draw25 %

Palencia CF win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almazán
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Palencia CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Cristo Atlético(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almazán win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Palencia CF win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Almazán 3-1 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 28, 2025	Palencia CF 1-0 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 2, 2025	Almazán 0-0 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 22, 2024	Palencia CF 1-0 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2024	Palencia CF 3-1 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 3, 2023	Almazán 0-0 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Palencia CF on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almazán	1.7	0.9	4	7/15	7/15
Palencia CF	1.7	1.5	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almazán sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (48 points from 34 matches) and Palencia CF sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	59	39	64
7	Almazán	34	12	12	10	49	38	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Palencia CF?: The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Palencia CF.
Where and when is Almazán vs Palencia CF played?: Almazán vs Palencia CF is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.