Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Unionistas II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II?
Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Unionistas II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Numancia II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cristo Atlético win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Unionistas II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 0-1 Unionistas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Unionistas II 0-0 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas II score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristo Atlético | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Unionistas II | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Unionistas II sit 15th (31 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cristo Atlético | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 68 |
| 15 | Unionistas II | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 43 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II?
- The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Unionistas II.
- Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II played?
- Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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