Match

Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Cristo AtléticoUnionistas II

The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Unionistas II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II?

Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,708).

Cristo Atlético win63 %
Draw23 %
Unionistas II win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Unionistas II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cristo Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Laredo(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Palencia CF(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Palencia CF(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Unionistas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Guijuelo(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Numancia II(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Villaralbo(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cristo Atlético win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Unionistas II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Cristo Atlético 0-1 Unionistas IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 3, 2026Unionistas II 0-0 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas II score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cristo Atlético1.50.858/155/15
Unionistas II1.61.348/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Unionistas II sit 15th (31 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cristo Atlético342158482468
15Unionistas II3461315324331

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II?
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Unionistas II.
Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II played?
Cristo Atlético vs Unionistas II is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cristo Atlético and Unionistas II

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