Match

Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito

Mito HollyhockKashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,832).

Mito Hollyhock win28 %
Draw26 %
Kashiwa Reysol win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)3-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)1-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)1-2J1 League
Jun 6, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)0-1J1 League
May 30, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-1J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)4-2J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)3-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 1, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)0-1J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Mito HollyhockJ1 League
Apr 19, 2026Mito Hollyhock 2-0 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Mar 22, 2026Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 Mito HollyhockJ1 League
Sep 23, 2024Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Mito HollyhockFriendlies Clubs
Oct 14, 2019Kashiwa Reysol 2-3 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
May 19, 2019Mito Hollyhock 0-0 Kashiwa ReysolJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mito Hollyhock1.11.8110/157/15
Kashiwa Reysol1.51.236/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kashiwa Reysol3300949
7Mito Hollyhock3111544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol played?
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mito Hollyhock and Kashiwa Reysol

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