Match

Urawa vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaKashima

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Kashima?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (2,160 vs 1,932).

Urawa win25 %
Draw26 %
Kashima win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kashima have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Suzuka Unlimited(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)4-3J1 League
Jul 15, 2026Vegalta Sendai(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Urawa win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Kashima win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kashima 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Feb 28, 2026Urawa 2-3 KashimaJ1 League
Sep 20, 2025Urawa 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 16, 2025Kashima 1-1 UrawaJ1 League
Aug 17, 2024Kashima 0-0 UrawaJ1 League
Jun 22, 2024Urawa 2-2 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Urawa on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa1.71.758/158/15
Kashima2.01.086/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kashima sit 3rd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Kashima3300969
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Kashima?
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Urawa.
Where and when is Urawa vs Kashima played?
Urawa vs Kashima is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Urawa and Kashima

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