Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Okinawa SV(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Urawa(away) | 4-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Verspah Oita(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-4 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tokyo Verdy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| May 22, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 2-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J-League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Aug 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tokyo Verdy | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy?
- The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Tokyo Verdy.
- Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy played?
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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