Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,232 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (2,151 vs 1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1- 23S. Ayukawa
- 10A. Suzuki
- 5N. Arai
- 35Y. Nakajima
- 7S. Higashi
- 6H. Kawabe
- 29T. Asano
- 4H. Araki
- 15S. Nakano
- 37Kim Ju-Sung
- 1K. Osako
Tokyo Verdy
4-4-2- 33K. Ichimi
- 9I. Someno
- 40Y. Arai
- 19K. Fujimoto
- 16R. Hirakawa
- 8K. Saito
- 4N. Hayashi
- 18S. Mizoguchi
- 96Cho Yu-Min
- 22Y. Uchida
- 1Matheus Vidotto
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(away) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 3-4 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 4-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, 0 draws, 0 Tokyo Verdy wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| May 22, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 2-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J-League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.3 | 0.8 | 11 | 3/15 | 9/15 |
| Tokyo Verdy | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd in J1 League (30 points from 14 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 14th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 30 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 14 |
A question about Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Tokyo Verdy.
- Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy played?
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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