Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka played?

Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)City Light Stadium, Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

Gamba Osaka

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Fagiano Okayama (1,938) and Gamba Osaka (2,024).

Fagiano Okayama win38 %

Draw27 %

Gamba Osaka win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gamba Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Gamba Osaka 2-2 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Feb 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama 1-2 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Aug 10, 2025	Gamba Osaka 0-3 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Feb 26, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Aug 4, 2013	Fagiano Okayama 2-3 Gamba Osaka	J2 League
Jun 22, 2013	Gamba Osaka 1-1 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fagiano Okayama sit 9th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka played?: Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.