JEF United Chiba vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Kawasaki Frontale starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Azul Claro Numazu(home) | 1-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 JEF United Chiba win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 JEF United Chiba | J1 League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 JEF United Chiba | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2021 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
| Sep 22, 2016 | Kawasaki Frontale 4-1 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
- JEF United Chiba vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 20, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsKyoto Sanga
- Feb 20, 2027UrawavsKashima
- Feb 20, 2027Cerezo OsakavsVissel Kobe
- Feb 20, 2027FC TokyovsV-varen Nagasaki
- Feb 20, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsMachida Zelvia
- Feb 20, 2027Mito HollyhockvsKashiwa Reysol
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