Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga played?

Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulse

Kyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,901) and Kyoto Sanga (1,907).

Shimizu S-pulse win41 %

Draw27 %

Kyoto Sanga win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Osaka(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Maruyasu Okazaki(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Feb 14, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Sep 20, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Mar 16, 2025	Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Jul 10, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Shimizu S-pulse	Emperor Cup
Aug 27, 2022	Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Shimizu S-pulse	0.9	1.3	1	9/15	6/15
Kyoto Sanga	0.9	2.1	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Shimizu S-pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?: The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga played?: Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.