Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia?
Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,116 vs 1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Grulla Morioka(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 4-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 5-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Machida Zelvia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Machida Zelvia 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Machida Zelvia 0-3 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Machida Zelvia 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Machida Zelvia | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia?
- The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
- Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia played?
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsTokyo Verdy
- Feb 20, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsKyoto Sanga
- Feb 20, 2027UrawavsKashima
- Feb 20, 2027Cerezo OsakavsVissel Kobe
- Feb 20, 2027FC TokyovsV-varen Nagasaki
- Feb 20, 2027JEF United ChibavsKawasaki Frontale
- Feb 20, 2027Mito HollyhockvsKashiwa Reysol
- Feb 20, 2027Fagiano OkayamavsGamba Osaka