Where and when is Moldova U17 vs Belarus U17 played?

Moldova U17 vs Belarus U17 is played on October 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Moldova U17 vs Belarus U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Moldova U17

Belarus U17

The Footlab model makes Moldova U17 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Belarus U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Moldova U17 vs Belarus U17?

Belarus U17 starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,450 vs 1,287).

Moldova U17 win39 %

Draw24 %

Belarus U17 win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moldova U17 have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Belarus U17 have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Moldova U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 29, 2026	Gibraltar U17(away)	7-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 26, 2026	Finland U17(away)	0-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026	Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(home)	0-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026	Hungary U17(away)	1-3	Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025	Belarus U17(home)	0-6	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Belarus U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Netherlands U17(away)	1-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026	Kosovo U17(home)	1-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Moldova U17(away)	6-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 11, 2025	Belgium U17(away)	0-6	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 8, 2025	Norway U17(home)	3-4	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Moldova U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Belarus U17 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 14, 2025	Moldova U17 0-6 Belarus U17	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Moldova U17 vs Belarus U17 on Oct 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Moldova U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belarus U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Moldova U17	0.6	2.1	3	2/15	8/15
Belarus U17	1.6	2.0	6	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Moldova U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (5 points from 3 matches) and Belarus U17 sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Moldova U17	3	1	2	0	7	0	5
3	Belarus U17	3	1	0	2	9	10	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Moldova U17 vs Belarus U17?: The Footlab model makes Moldova U17 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Belarus U17.
Where and when is Moldova U17 vs Belarus U17 played?: Moldova U17 vs Belarus U17 is played on October 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.