Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Montenegro U17 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Ukraine U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Montenegro U17 (1,490) and Ukraine U17 (1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montenegro U17 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ukraine U17 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | France U17(away) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 29, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 0-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 26, 2026 | Denmark U17(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Sweden U17(home) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Norway U17(home) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Albania U17(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Latvia U17(home) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Croatia U17(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Montenegro U17 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ukraine U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Montenegro U17 1-1 Ukraine U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17 on Oct 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montenegro U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ukraine U17 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro U17 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Ukraine U17 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montenegro U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Ukraine U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17?
- The Footlab model makes Montenegro U17 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Ukraine U17.
- Where and when is Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17 played?
- Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
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