Match

Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Montenegro U17Ukraine U17

The Footlab model makes Montenegro U17 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Ukraine U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Montenegro U17 (1,490) and Ukraine U17 (1,492).

Montenegro U17 win40 %
Draw24 %
Ukraine U17 win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montenegro U17 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ukraine U17 have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montenegro U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 1, 2026France U17(away)0-5UEFA U17 Championship
May 29, 2026Italy U17(home)0-3UEFA U17 Championship
May 26, 2026Denmark U17(home)1-2UEFA U17 Championship
Mar 31, 2026Sweden U17(home)0-5UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Norway U17(home)4-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Ukraine U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2026Albania U17(away)4-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Jun 6, 2026Latvia U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026Spain U17(away)1-3Friendlies
Apr 21, 2026Spain U17(away)0-4Friendlies
Feb 16, 2026Croatia U17(away)0-0Friendlies

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Montenegro U17 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ukraine U17 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2025Montenegro U17 1-1 Ukraine U17UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17 on Oct 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Montenegro U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ukraine U17 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montenegro U171.21.755/1510/15
Ukraine U171.31.749/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montenegro U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Ukraine U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Montenegro U173210427
3Ukraine U173111434

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17?
The Footlab model makes Montenegro U17 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Ukraine U17.
Where and when is Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17 played?
Montenegro U17 vs Ukraine U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Montenegro U17 and Ukraine U17

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