Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 22Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pod Goricom, Podgorica
The Footlab model makes Montenegro U21 the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Armenia U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
Montenegro U21 starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,416 vs 1,254).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montenegro U21 have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Armenia U21 have 0, 2 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Cyprus U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Poland U21(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Sweden U21(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Italy U21(home) | 1-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Armenia U21(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | North Macedonia U21(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Poland U21(away) | 1-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Sweden U21(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Montenegro U21(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Italy U21(away) | 1-5 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Montenegro U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Armenia U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | Armenia U21 1-2 Montenegro U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Montenegro U21 0-0 Armenia U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Armenia U21 0-1 Montenegro U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Armenia U21 vs Montenegro U21 on Nov 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montenegro U21 score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Armenia U21 score 0.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro U21 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Armenia U21 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 2 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montenegro U21 sit 3rd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (10 points from 8 matches) and Armenia U21 sit 6th (0 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montenegro U21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 6 | Armenia U21 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
- The Footlab model makes Montenegro U21 the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Armenia U21.
- Where and when is Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21 played?
- Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21 is played on October 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pod Goricom, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.