England U21 vs Slovakia U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 22Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wembley Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes England U21 the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Slovakia U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win England U21 vs Slovakia U21?
England U21 starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,555).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, England U21 have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Slovakia U21 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Moldova U21(home) | 4-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Andorra U21(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Slovakia U21(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Republic of Ireland U21(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Andorra U21(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Kazakhstan U21(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | England U21(home) | 0-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Kazakhstan U21(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Moldova U21(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Republic of Ireland U21(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 England U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Slovakia U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Slovakia U21 0-4 England U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Slovakia U21 vs England U21 on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
England U21 score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Slovakia U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England U21 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Slovakia U21 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
England U21 sit 1st in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (19 points from 7 matches) and Slovakia U21 sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England U21 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 2 | Slovakia U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for England U21 vs Slovakia U21?
- The Footlab model makes England U21 the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Slovakia U21.
- Where and when is England U21 vs Slovakia U21 played?
- England U21 vs Slovakia U21 is played on October 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wembley Stadium, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.