Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin played?

Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław

Slask Wroclaw

Pogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Slask Wroclaw (1,962) and Pogon Szczecin (1,993).

Slask Wroclaw win44 %

Draw26 %

Pogon Szczecin win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slask Wroclaw have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slask Wroclaw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	3-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Gornik Zabrze(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Slask Wroclaw win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2025	Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Sep 1, 2024	Pogon Szczecin 5-3 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa
Feb 11, 2024	Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Aug 30, 2023	Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa
Feb 5, 2023	Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2022	Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin on Mar 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Slask Wroclaw	2.1	1.1	5	10/15	12/15
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slask Wroclaw sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
12	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	7	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin?: The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin played?: Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.