Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,946) and Piast Gliwice (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Korona Kielce win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Piast Gliwice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Korona Kielce 0-2 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 3-0 Korona Kielce | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 5, 2024 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Piast Gliwice.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice played?
- Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027JagielloniavsCracovia Krakow
- May 8, 2027Slask WroclawvsPogon Szczecin
- May 8, 2027Wisla KrakowvsRadomiak Radom
- May 8, 2027Legia WarszawavsWisla Plock
- May 8, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsZaglebie Lubin
- May 8, 2027Lech PoznanvsGKS Katowice
- May 8, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsRaków Częstochowa
- May 8, 2027Motor LublinvsWieczysta Kraków