Nara Club vs Osaka: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara, Nara Prefecture
The Footlab model makes Nara Club the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nara Club vs Osaka?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Nara Club (1,664) and Osaka (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nara Club have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagoshima United(home) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nara Club win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Osaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club 1-4 Osaka | Emperor Cup |
| May 6, 2026 | Nara Club 1-3 Osaka | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Osaka 2-0 Nara Club | J2/J3 League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nara Club 1-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Osaka 1-1 Nara Club | J3 League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Nara Club 0-1 Osaka | J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nara Club | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Osaka | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nara Club sit 14th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Nara Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nara Club vs Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Nara Club the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Osaka.
- Where and when is Nara Club vs Osaka played?
- Nara Club vs Osaka is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Konoike Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026FC GifuvsBiwako Shiga
- Dec 5, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsKochi United
- Dec 5, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsRoasso Kumamoto
- Dec 5, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsFukushima United
- Dec 5, 2026Ehime FCvsFC Ryukyu
- Dec 5, 2026KitakyushuvsTochigi SC
- Dec 5, 2026Gainare TottorivsKagoshima United
- Dec 5, 2026Parceiro NaganovsKanazawa