Match

Osaka vs Nara Club: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

OsakaNara Club

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Nara Club?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Osaka (1,714) and Nara Club (1,662).

Osaka win50 %
Draw24 %
Nara Club win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Nara Club(away)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)4-2J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-1J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Nara Club
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)3-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Osaka(home)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-3J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-4J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Nara Club win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Nara Club 1-4 OsakaEmperor Cup
May 6, 2026Nara Club 1-3 OsakaJ2/J3 League
Mar 6, 2026Osaka 2-0 Nara ClubJ2/J3 League
Sep 27, 2025Nara Club 1-1 OsakaJ3 League
Jun 30, 2025Osaka 1-1 Nara ClubJ3 League
Oct 13, 2024Nara Club 0-1 OsakaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Nara Club vs Osaka on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osaka1.51.4111/158/15
Nara Club1.71.9212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Osaka3120755
14Nara Club3102583

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Nara Club?
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Nara Club.
Where and when is Osaka vs Nara Club played?
Osaka vs Nara Club is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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