Match

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

NEC NijmegenLevski Sofia

The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Levski Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

On Elo ratings, NEC Nijmegen has 1,995 points and Levski Sofia 1,982.

56%24%20%
NEC Nijmegen winDrawLevski Sofia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1
  1. 30B. Linssen
  1. 9T. Chery
  2. 20N. Lebreton
  3. 6D. Nejašmić
  4. 10D. Tadić
  5. 77A. Thomas
  6. 99Clement Bischoff
  1. 21T. Storm
  2. 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
  3. 3P. Sandler
  1. 12N. Polster

Levski Sofia

4-2-3-1
  1. 7Reinaldo
  1. 35Serginho
  2. 18G. Trdin
  3. 20Álex Centelles
  4. 17Everton Bala
  5. 11A. Oko-Flex
  1. 4C. Makoun
  2. 21Aldair
  3. 50K. Dimitrov
  4. 3Maicon
  1. 92S. Vutsov

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Levski Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

NEC Nijmegen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026GO Ahead Eagles(home)1-1Eredivisie
Sep 17, 2026Juventus(away)0-5UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026Cambuur(away)0-3Eredivisie
Sep 8, 2026Excelsior(home)2-2Eredivisie
Sep 5, 2026Feyenoord(home)1-3Eredivisie
Levski Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 17, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(home)0-1UEFA Europa League
Sep 13, 2026Botev Vratsa(away)0-0First League
Sep 9, 2026CSKA Sofia(home)2-4Super Cup
Sep 5, 2026CSKA 1948(home)1-0First League
Sep 2, 2026Slavia Sofia(away)2-1First League

How many goals should we expect?

NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
NEC Nijmegen1.51.929/1512/15
Levski Sofia1.70.985/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

NEC Nijmegen sit 36th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Levski Sofia sit 27th (0 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
27Levski Sofia1001010
36NEC Nijmegen1001050

A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Levski Sofia.
Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia played?
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia is played on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia

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