Where and when is Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21 played?

Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Johan Cruijff Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 19Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Netherlands U21

Norway U21

The Footlab model makes Netherlands U21 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Norway U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21?

Netherlands U21 starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,592).

Netherlands U21 win51 %

Draw23 %

Norway U21 win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Norway U21 have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Netherlands U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2026	Belgium U21(home)	2-1	Friendlies
Mar 27, 2026	Norway U21(away)	2-3	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Israel U21(away)	1-3	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025	Slovenia U21(home)	2-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Lithuania U21(home)	2-0	Friendlies

Norway U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 8, 2026	Finland U21(home)	0-2	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Slovenia U21(away)	0-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Netherlands U21(home)	3-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Bosnia-Herzegovina U21(away)	1-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025	Israel U21(away)	3-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Netherlands U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Norway U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2026	Norway U21 3-2 Netherlands U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 21, 2024	Netherlands U21 1-2 Norway U21	Friendlies
Sep 8, 2020	Netherlands U21 2-0 Norway U21	UEFA U21 Championship
Oct 15, 2019	Norway U21 0-4 Netherlands U21	UEFA U21 Championship

Last archived meeting: Norway U21 vs Netherlands U21 on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Netherlands U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Norway U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Netherlands U21	1.9	1.1	7	8/15	10/15
Norway U21	1.9	1.4	6	6/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Netherlands U21 sit 4th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (5 points from 5 matches) and Norway U21 sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Norway U21	5	4	0	1	12	4	12
4	Netherlands U21	5	1	2	2	7	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21?: The Footlab model makes Netherlands U21 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Norway U21.
Where and when is Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21 played?: Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Johan Cruijff Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.