Where and when is Switzerland U21 vs Luxembourg U21 played?

Switzerland U21 vs Luxembourg U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. Jakob-Park, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Switzerland U21 vs Luxembourg U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 19Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. Jakob-Park, Basel

Switzerland U21

Luxembourg U21

The Footlab model makes Switzerland U21 the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Luxembourg U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Switzerland U21 vs Luxembourg U21?

Switzerland U21 starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (1,598 vs 1,313).

Switzerland U21 win58 %

Draw23 %

Luxembourg U21 win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Switzerland U21 have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Luxembourg U21 have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Switzerland U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Estonia U21(home)	2-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Faroe Islands U21(home)	1-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Luxembourg U21(away)	1-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025	France U21(home)	1-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Faroe Islands U21(away)	3-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Luxembourg U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2026	Kosovo U21(away)	0-0	Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026	France U21(home)	1-5	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Switzerland U21(home)	2-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 13, 2025	Iceland U21(home)	1-3	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Iceland U21(away)	1-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Switzerland U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Luxembourg U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 18, 2025	Luxembourg U21 2-1 Switzerland U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Luxembourg U21 vs Switzerland U21 on Nov 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Switzerland U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Luxembourg U21 score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Switzerland U21	1.8	1.0	5	10/15	9/15
Luxembourg U21	0.8	2.3	3	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Switzerland U21 sit 2nd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (14 points from 7 matches) and Luxembourg U21 sit 5th (4 points from 6 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Switzerland U21	7	4	2	1	10	5	14
5	Luxembourg U21	6	1	1	4	7	14	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Switzerland U21 vs Luxembourg U21?: The Footlab model makes Switzerland U21 the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Luxembourg U21.
Where and when is Switzerland U21 vs Luxembourg U21 played?: Switzerland U21 vs Luxembourg U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. Jakob-Park, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.