Where and when is Georgia U21 vs Greece U21 played?

Georgia U21 vs Greece U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Georgia U21 vs Greece U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 19Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi

Georgia U21

Greece U21

The Footlab model makes Greece U21 the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Georgia U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Georgia U21 vs Greece U21?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Georgia U21 (1,519) and Greece U21 (1,578).

Georgia U21 win33 %

Draw25 %

Greece U21 win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Georgia U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Greece U21 have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Georgia U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 9, 2026	Moldova U21(away)	2-3	Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026	United States U20(away)	0-1	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Malta U21(home)	4-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Latvia U21(home)	1-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Germany U21(home)	0-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Greece U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Croatia U21(away)	1-1	Friendlies
May 27, 2026	Qatar U23(home)	1-2	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Germany U21(home)	0-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Malta U21(home)	5-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Northern Ireland U21(home)	4-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Georgia U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Greece U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 14, 2025	Greece U21 3-0 Georgia U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Greece U21 vs Georgia U21 on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Georgia U21 score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Greece U21 score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Georgia U21	1.5	1.7	2	9/15	9/15
Greece U21	2.3	0.8	8	5/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Georgia U21 sit 4th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 7 matches) and Greece U21 sit 2nd (18 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Greece U21	7	6	0	1	21	4	18
4	Georgia U21	7	2	3	2	12	9	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Georgia U21 vs Greece U21?: The Footlab model makes Greece U21 the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Georgia U21.
Where and when is Georgia U21 vs Greece U21 played?: Georgia U21 vs Greece U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.