Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 19Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadion NTC Poprad, Poprad
The Footlab model makes Slovakia U21 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Republic of Ireland U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Slovakia U21 (1,555) and Republic of Ireland U21 (1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovakia U21 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Republic of Ireland U21 have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Kazakhstan U21(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | England U21(home) | 0-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Kazakhstan U21(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Moldova U21(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Republic of Ireland U21(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Qatar U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Croatia U21(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kazakhstan U21(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Moldova U21(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Andorra U21(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Slovakia U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Republic of Ireland U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Republic of Ireland U21 2-2 Slovakia U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Republic of Ireland U21 vs Slovakia U21 on Oct 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Slovakia U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Republic of Ireland U21 score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia U21 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Republic of Ireland U21 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovakia U21 sit 2nd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (16 points from 7 matches) and Republic of Ireland U21 sit 3rd (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovakia U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?
- The Footlab model makes Slovakia U21 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Republic of Ireland U21.
- Where and when is Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 played?
- Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadion NTC Poprad, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 25, 2026England U21vsKazakhstan U21
- Sep 25, 2026Iceland U21vsFrance U21
- Sep 25, 2026Netherlands U21vsNorway U21
- Sep 25, 2026Switzerland U21vsLuxembourg U21
- Sep 26, 2026Croatia U21vsHungary U21
- Sep 26, 2026Georgia U21vsGreece U21
- Sep 26, 2026Latvia U21vsGermany U21
- Sep 26, 2026Malta U21vsNorthern Ireland U21