Match

Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 19Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadion NTC Poprad, Poprad

Slovakia U21Republic of Ireland U21

The Footlab model makes Slovakia U21 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Republic of Ireland U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Slovakia U21 (1,555) and Republic of Ireland U21 (1,558).

Slovakia U21 win48 %
Draw24 %
Republic of Ireland U21 win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovakia U21 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Republic of Ireland U21 have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slovakia U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2026Kazakhstan U21(away)3-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025England U21(home)0-4UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 13, 2025Kazakhstan U21(home)2-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025Moldova U21(home)2-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 10, 2025Republic of Ireland U21(away)2-2UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Republic of Ireland U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2026Qatar U23(home)0-0Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026Croatia U21(away)2-2Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026Kazakhstan U21(away)1-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 26, 2026Moldova U21(home)1-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Andorra U21(away)0-4UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Slovakia U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Republic of Ireland U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2025Republic of Ireland U21 2-2 Slovakia U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Republic of Ireland U21 vs Slovakia U21 on Oct 10, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Slovakia U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Republic of Ireland U21 score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slovakia U211.71.438/1510/15
Republic of Ireland U211.51.258/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slovakia U21 sit 2nd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (16 points from 7 matches) and Republic of Ireland U21 sit 3rd (11 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Slovakia U217511151016
3Republic of Ireland U21732271011

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?
The Footlab model makes Slovakia U21 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Republic of Ireland U21.
Where and when is Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 played?
Slovakia U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadion NTC Poprad, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Slovakia U21 and Republic of Ireland U21

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