Match

Austin vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

AustinReal Salt Lake

The Footlab AI model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Austin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Salt Lake wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Austin vs Real Salt Lake?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Austin (1,797) and Real Salt Lake (1,818).

35%25%40%
Austin winDrawReal Salt Lake win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Austin vs Real Salt Lake

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Austin

3-4-3
  1. 9B. Vázquez
  2. 21C. Ramirez
  3. 11F. Torres
  1. 17J. Gallagher
  2. 38Ervin Torres
  3. 14B. Šabović
  4. 30J. Rosales
  1. 4B. Hines-Ike
  2. 15J. Bell
  3. 5O. Svatok
  1. 1B. Stuver

Real Salt Lake

3-4-2-1
  1. 22S. Solans
  1. 92N. Caliskan
  2. 9M. Guilavogui
  3. 6S. Spierings
  4. 11D. Marczuk
  5. 8J. Sanabria
  6. 12S. Lobzhanidze
  1. 26P. Quinton
  2. 3K. Henry
  3. 44L. De Fougerolles
  1. 1Rafael Cabral

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Real Salt Lake have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Austin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026Los Angeles FC(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2026Nashville SC(home)1-4Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026San Diego(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026FC Dallas(away)0-0Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Sporting Kansas City(away)3-1Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026New England Revolution(home)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)0-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Austin wins, 2 draws, 4 Real Salt Lake wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Real Salt Lake 2-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
Sep 28, 2025Real Salt Lake 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
May 29, 2025Austin 1-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024Austin 2-2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024Real Salt Lake 5-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023Austin 1-2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs Austin on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Salt Lake score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Austin1.31.5212/159/15
Real Salt Lake1.31.728/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (31 points from 30 matches) and Real Salt Lake sit 10th (36 points from 30 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Real Salt Lake3010614454836
14Austin3071013385631

A question about Austin vs Real Salt Lake?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Austin vs Real Salt Lake?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Austin.
Where and when is Austin vs Real Salt Lake played?
Austin vs Real Salt Lake is played on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Austin and Real Salt Lake

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