Where and when is New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City played?

New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Sports Illustrated Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, New Jersey

New York Red Bulls

St. Louis City

The Footlab model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for New York Red Bulls. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate New York Red Bulls (1,713) and St. Louis City (1,806).

New York Red Bulls win32 %

Draw24 %

St. Louis City win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York Red Bulls have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; St. Louis City have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New York Red Bulls
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chicago Fire(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Nashville SC(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Atlanta United FC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Orlando City SC(home)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Charlotte(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer

St. Louis City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes(away)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Real Salt Lake(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 New York Red Bulls win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 St. Louis City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	New York Red Bulls 3-1 St. Louis City	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 29, 2025	New York Red Bulls 0-1 St. Louis City	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 10, 2024	St. Louis City 2-2 New York Red Bulls	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New York Red Bulls score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; St. Louis City score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
New York Red Bulls	1.4	2.1	0	11/15	9/15
St. Louis City	1.8	1.1	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New York Red Bulls sit 8th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 21 matches) and St. Louis City sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	St. Louis City	21	9	6	6	30	27	33
8	New York Red Bulls	21	7	5	9	31	43	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?: The Footlab model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for New York Red Bulls.
Where and when is New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City played?: New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Sports Illustrated Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.