Match

Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major

Llantwit MajorTreowen Stars

The Footlab AI model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,080 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Llantwit Major (1,020) and Treowen Stars (1,059).

32%22%46%
Llantwit Major winDrawTreowen Stars win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Llantwit Major

Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.

Treowen Stars

Not enough data to predict the Treowen Stars lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Treowen Stars have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llantwit Major
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(away)2-2FAW Championship
Oct 31, 2026Newport City(home)2-3FAW Championship
Oct 23, 2026Caerau (Ely)(away)2-0FAW Championship
Oct 17, 2026Trefelin(away)1-4Welsh Cup
Oct 10, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-1FAW Championship
Treowen Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 13, 2026Swansea University(away)3-2FAW Championship
Nov 6, 2026Newport City(away)2-2FAW Championship
Oct 30, 2026Baglan Dragons(away)1-0FAW Championship
Oct 10, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(home)1-3FAW Championship
Oct 3, 2026Ynyshir Albions(home)1-2FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Llantwit Major win, 2 draws, 0 Treowen Stars wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Treowen Stars 1-1 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship
Mar 3, 2026Llantwit Major 3-2 Treowen StarsFAW Championship
Nov 1, 2025Treowen Stars 1-1 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Treowen Stars vs Llantwit Major on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Llantwit Major score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Treowen Stars score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llantwit Major1.22.3210/1510/15
Treowen Stars1.92.1311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (12 points from 12 matches) and Treowen Stars sit 5th (20 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Treowen Stars13625252520
15Llantwit Major12336142612

A question about Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars?
The Footlab AI model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars played?
Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Llantwit Major and Treowen Stars