Newport County vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,172 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Crawley Town?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Newport County (1,804) and Crawley Town (1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 19G. Garner
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 12Joe Thomas
- 1J. Wright
Crawley Town
3-4-2-1- 17Osman Kamara
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 30Kai Jennings
- 28Nathan Tinsdale
- 25J. Fourcroy
- 6P. Farquharson
- 12L. Richards
- 5C. Barker
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 03:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Crawley Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newport County win, 1 draw, 4 Crawley Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Newport County 0-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Crawley Town 1-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Newport County 0-4 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Crawley Town 4-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Newport County 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Crawley Town 2-1 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Crawley Town on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 12th in League Two (15 points from 12 matches) and Crawley Town sit 24th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newport County | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 5 |
A question about Newport County vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Crawley Town played?
- Newport County vs Crawley Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.