Match

Nieciecza vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaMatchday 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza

NiecieczaStal Mielec

The Footlab AI model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nieciecza wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,486 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Stal Mielec?

Nieciecza starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,744).

49%25%26%
Nieciecza winDrawStal Mielec win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nieciecza vs Stal Mielec

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nieciecza

4-3-3
  1. 19I. Durdov
  2. 25K. Zapolnik
  3. 17D. Biniek
  1. 20M. Jaroszewski
  2. 21D. Hilbrycht
  3. 8R. Kurzawa
  1. 5L. Masoero
  2. 16M. Kozik
  3. 4A. Zarówny
  4. 44M. Synoś
  1. 1A. Chovan

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 78K. Cybulski
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 7M. Cebula
  3. 18P. Wlazło
  4. 19T. Gmur
  5. 23K. Getinger
  1. 44Israel Puerto
  2. 14K. Kościelny
  3. 94B. Kwiecień
  4. 5H. Matynia
  1. 99M. Gostomski

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Stal Mielec have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nieciecza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)2-2I Liga
Oct 31, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)1-1I Liga
Oct 27, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(away)1-0Cup
Oct 24, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)1-3I Liga
Oct 19, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(home)2-0I Liga
Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 30, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)0-0I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-3I Liga
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nieciecza wins, 1 draw, 2 Stal Mielec wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 14, 2026Stal Mielec 1-2 NiecieczaI Liga
Jan 23, 2026Nieciecza 4-0 Stal MielecFriendlies Clubs
Mar 25, 2022Nieciecza 4-1 Stal MielecFriendlies Clubs
Dec 10, 2021Stal Mielec 1-0 NiecieczaEkstraklasa
Sep 3, 2021Stal Mielec 1-0 NiecieczaFriendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2021Nieciecza 1-1 Stal MielecEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza on Sep 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nieciecza score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nieciecza1.81.5312/1511/15
Stal Mielec1.52.039/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nieciecza sit 6th in I Liga (22 points from 14 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 11th (19 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Nieciecza14644222022
11Stal Mielec14545192719

A question about Nieciecza vs Stal Mielec?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Stal Mielec?
The Footlab AI model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Nieciecza vs Stal Mielec played?
Nieciecza vs Stal Mielec is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nieciecza and Stal Mielec