Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Unia Skierniewice?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835) and Unia Skierniewice (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unia Skierniewice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice 0-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice 2-0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Unia Skierniewice 2-3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 3-0 Unia Skierniewice | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Unia Skierniewice 2-7 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4-0 Unia Skierniewice | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st in I Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Unia Skierniewice?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Unia Skierniewice played?
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Unia Skierniewice is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Miedz LegnicavsLechia Gdansk
- Mar 20, 2027Arka GdyniavsWarta Poznań
- Mar 20, 2027NiecieczavsStal Mielec
- Mar 20, 2027PodbeskidzievsRuch Chorzów
- Mar 20, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Mar 20, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsChrobry Głogów
- Mar 20, 2027Stal RzeszówvsOdra Opole
- Mar 20, 2027Polonia BytomvsPolonia Warszawa