Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń SiedlceChrobry Głogów

The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Pogoń Siedlce (1,759) and Chrobry Głogów (1,855).

Pogoń Siedlce win28 %
Draw28 %
Chrobry Głogów win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)2-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Nieciecza(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 25, 2026ŁKS Łódź(home)1-1I Liga
Chrobry Głogów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 3, 2026Odra Opole(home)0-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)5-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chrobry Głogów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Sep 12, 2025Chrobry Głogów 2-1 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga
Dec 1, 2024Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga
Jul 20, 2024Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Oct 20, 2022Pogoń Siedlce 3-1 Chrobry GłogówCup

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce1.11.838/159/15
Chrobry Głogów1.51.6012/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Chrobry Głogów5212857
14Pogoń Siedlce5122565

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów played?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogoń Siedlce and Chrobry Głogów

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