Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Pogoń Siedlce (1,759) and Chrobry Głogów (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chrobry Głogów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Chrobry Głogów 2-1 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Pogoń Siedlce 3-1 Chrobry Głogów | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Siedlce | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Pogoń Siedlce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?
- The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Pogoń Siedlce.
- Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów played?
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Miedz LegnicavsLechia Gdansk
- Mar 20, 2027Arka GdyniavsWarta Poznań
- Mar 20, 2027NiecieczavsStal Mielec
- Mar 20, 2027PodbeskidzievsRuch Chorzów
- Mar 20, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Mar 20, 2027Stal RzeszówvsOdra Opole
- Mar 20, 2027Polonia BytomvsPolonia Warszawa
- Mar 20, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsUnia Skierniewice