Match

Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica

Miedz LegnicaLechia Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Miedz Legnica (1,898) and Lechia Gdansk (1,850).

Miedz Legnica win46 %
Draw25 %
Lechia Gdansk win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedz Legnica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Miedz Legnica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)3-0I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)2-0I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Podbeskidzie(away)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-3I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Miedz Legnica win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lechia Gdansk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 26, 2024Miedz Legnica 4-1 Lechia GdanskI Liga
Dec 3, 2023Lechia Gdansk 2-0 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
Mar 10, 2023Lechia Gdansk 4-0 Miedz LegnicaEkstraklasa
Aug 27, 2022Miedz Legnica 2-1 Lechia GdanskEkstraklasa
Dec 17, 2018Miedz Legnica 0-0 Lechia GdanskEkstraklasa
Aug 10, 2018Lechia Gdansk 2-0 Miedz LegnicaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk on May 26, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Miedz Legnica1.31.166/157/15
Lechia Gdansk1.12.119/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Miedz Legnica sit 2nd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Miedz Legnica53118210
16Lechia Gdansk5113394

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk?
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk played?
Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Miedz Legnica and Lechia Gdansk

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