Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Miedz Legnica (1,898) and Lechia Gdansk (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedz Legnica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Miedz Legnica win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lechia Gdansk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2024 | Miedz Legnica 4-1 Lechia Gdansk | I Liga |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Lechia Gdansk 2-0 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Lechia Gdansk 4-0 Miedz Legnica | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Miedz Legnica 2-1 Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 17, 2018 | Miedz Legnica 0-0 Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 10, 2018 | Lechia Gdansk 2-0 Miedz Legnica | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk on May 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miedz Legnica sit 2nd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk?
- The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lechia Gdansk.
- Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk played?
- Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Arka GdyniavsWarta Poznań
- Mar 20, 2027NiecieczavsStal Mielec
- Mar 20, 2027PodbeskidzievsRuch Chorzów
- Mar 20, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Mar 20, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsChrobry Głogów
- Mar 20, 2027Stal RzeszówvsOdra Opole
- Mar 20, 2027Polonia BytomvsPolonia Warszawa
- Mar 20, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsUnia Skierniewice