Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom
The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,842) and Polonia Warszawa (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Polonia Bytom win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Polonia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Polonia Bytom 3-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa played?
- Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Miedz LegnicavsLechia Gdansk
- Mar 20, 2027Arka GdyniavsWarta Poznań
- Mar 20, 2027NiecieczavsStal Mielec
- Mar 20, 2027PodbeskidzievsRuch Chorzów
- Mar 20, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Mar 20, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsChrobry Głogów
- Mar 20, 2027Stal RzeszówvsOdra Opole
- Mar 20, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsUnia Skierniewice