Podbeskidzie vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Ruch Chorzów?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,952) and Ruch Chorzów (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Podbeskidzie win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | Ruch Chorzów 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 0-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 1-0 Ruch Chorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie on Apr 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Ruch Chorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ruch Chorzów.
- Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Ruch Chorzów played?
- Podbeskidzie vs Ruch Chorzów is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Miedz LegnicavsLechia Gdansk
- Mar 20, 2027Arka GdyniavsWarta Poznań
- Mar 20, 2027NiecieczavsStal Mielec
- Mar 20, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Mar 20, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsChrobry Głogów
- Mar 20, 2027Stal RzeszówvsOdra Opole
- Mar 20, 2027Polonia BytomvsPolonia Warszawa
- Mar 20, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsUnia Skierniewice