Nieciecza vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Unia Skierniewice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Unia Skierniewice?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,871) and Unia Skierniewice (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Unia Skierniewice?
- The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Unia Skierniewice.
- Where and when is Nieciecza vs Unia Skierniewice played?
- Nieciecza vs Unia Skierniewice is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Miedz LegnicavsOdra Opole
- Apr 10, 2027Lechia GdanskvsStal Rzeszów
- Apr 10, 2027Warta PoznańvsStal Mielec
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsPodbeskidzie
- Apr 10, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsŁKS Łódź
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia BytomvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsChrobry Głogów
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia WarszawavsArka Gdynia