Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,912) and Warta Poznań (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Unia Skierniewice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Warta Poznań win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Warta Poznań 0-2 Unia Skierniewice | II Liga - East |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Unia Skierniewice 2-1 Warta Poznań | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Warta Poznań.
- Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań played?
- Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Arka GdyniavsLechia Gdansk
- Apr 17, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsPolonia Bytom
- Apr 17, 2027Odra OpolevsRuch Chorzów
- Apr 17, 2027PodbeskidzievsŁKS Łódź
- Apr 17, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsNieciecza
- Apr 17, 2027Stal MielecvsMiedz Legnica
- Apr 17, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Apr 17, 2027Polonia WarszawavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki