Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia SkierniewiceWarta Poznań

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,912) and Warta Poznań (1,884).

Unia Skierniewice win40 %
Draw24 %
Warta Poznań win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga
Warta Poznań
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-3I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Nieciecza(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)0-1Cup
Jul 31, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Unia Skierniewice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Warta Poznań win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2025Warta Poznań 0-2 Unia SkierniewiceII Liga - East
Jul 27, 2025Unia Skierniewice 2-1 Warta PoznańII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15
Warta Poznań1.71.659/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Warta Poznań53021089
12Unia Skierniewice5203586

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań?
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Warta Poznań.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań played?
Unia Skierniewice vs Warta Poznań is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unia Skierniewice and Warta Poznań

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