Match

Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Lechia GdanskStal Rzeszów

The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów?

Lechia Gdansk starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,723).

Lechia Gdansk win54 %
Draw23 %
Stal Rzeszów win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Podbeskidzie(away)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-3I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-3I Liga
Stal Rzeszów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stal Mielec(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)0-4I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-5I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stal Rzeszów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2024Stal Rzeszów 4-2 Lechia GdanskI Liga
Oct 28, 2023Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Stal RzeszówI Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk on Apr 27, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lechia Gdansk1.12.119/1511/15
Stal Rzeszów1.32.3111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Lechia Gdansk5113394
18Stal Rzeszów50233122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów?
The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów played?
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lechia Gdansk and Stal Rzeszów

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