Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów?
Lechia Gdansk starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stal Rzeszów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 4-2 Lechia Gdansk | I Liga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk on Apr 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów played?
- Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Rzeszów is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Miedz LegnicavsOdra Opole
- Apr 10, 2027NiecieczavsUnia Skierniewice
- Apr 10, 2027Warta PoznańvsStal Mielec
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsPodbeskidzie
- Apr 10, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsŁKS Łódź
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia BytomvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsChrobry Głogów
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia WarszawavsArka Gdynia